Friday, June 20, 2008

Game at night 3

TL;DR version:

This e-mail is for your eyes only. In the wrong hands it is the end of us.
I have determined who the two inactives are that will be killed off (Nebecanazer, Kegluneg). We will not be approaching additional potential players until we see the roles they bore after they are killed this evening.
CAB is probably Mercutio, and that is why Suike's kill did not go through.
I believe THG is telling the truth. But, just in case, put that Detective check through anyway.

--Sky

1. ChaoticAtomBomb - Status unknown. Potentially Mafia Lord, Capulet Veteran, or Black Kitty's Capulet bodyguard. Voted for Zaxser, BoD , Kanako, abstained. Eliminate by lynch.
2. Bscar - Status unknown. 100% not Montague. Voted for Kegluneq, Skulkraken, BoD and Qix. 2 x singleton votes. Attempting to be discovered by Capulet detective. Eliminate.
3. Gasp! Its Jake - Hopefully Montague Townie. Voting as per Montague.
4. Sapphire - Status unknown. Voted for Kanako only thus far. No other information.
5. Black Kitty - Count. Affiliation unknown, allegedly neutral.
7. Sarck - Allegedly Paranoid. Abstained, voted for TTR, and Lunk.
8. TracerBullet - Suspected to be Romeo. Voted for Zaxser. Abstained the rest.
9. Nebecanezer - Status unknown, no intel. Never voted.
11. Umino - Suspected to be Juliet Capulet. Targetted for death. Voting like a Capulet. Publically supported Link (Capulet Lord).
12. major_pain - Suspected to be Capulet. 100% not Montague. Voted for Umino, Bod and Kanako, Skulkraken. Dangerous enemy with contacts. Avoid or eliminate.
13. Skulkraken - Suspected to be Montague sleeper. Has cooperated with voting. Plausible.
14. Santakuroosu - Town crier, giving us clues. Keep alive.
15. Sky_Paladin - Cowardly Lord hiding behind his allies.
16. Jeffu - Status unknown, allegedly Montague sleeper. Link ordered Skulkraken to kill him. Never voted.
18. zero_kanipan - Status unknown. Voted for TAP with Sky on day 1. Voted for BoD and Link in day 2. 'Forgot' to vote for Skul day 3. Possibly Montague.
19. Squidworth - 100% Montague Townie.
20. TheWinkle - Status unknown, suspected Capulet. Claimed to be Montague by Link. Abstained day 1, voted BoD and Kanako day 2, Link day 3. Likely Capulet feigning Montague allegiance. Potential bodyguard for BK.
21. Kaiba - Status unknown. Voted for Zaxser, Kanako, Skulkraken. Kill on sight.
22. 1337guard - Status unknown. Never voted.
23. DNA.Styx - Drunk, so far friendly rampages only.
24. Thethirdrider - Loyal defender to the crown and Montague bodyguard.
25. SpadaDellaSelva - Hopefully Montague Townie.
26. Eyolo - 99% Montague Detective.
27. Madogu Abuser - 99% Montague Paramedic.
28. Vampirate - Status unknown. Only voted for Skulkraken. Likely Capulet sympathiser or just idiot. Plausible Citizen target.
29. NeoNostalgia - Status unknown. Voted for Zaxser. Voted for Kanako and BoD, abstained. Likely Capulet.
30. The Humble Grasshopper - Allegedly 'Watch'. Has cooperated with voting. Potentially Capulet or Citizen masquerading. Being detective checked tonight. Voted for Zaxser, BoD, Kanako, and Link. Possibly betrayed Capulet lord to make friends with Montague. Either our greatest friend or most dangerous enemy.
32. Dukat - Alleged Town crier sharing his clues with all.
34. Midnyt - Confirmed as '100% definitely Capulet detective' by Link. Oops. Voted for Zaxser, Kanako, Skulkraken.
35. BBC - Hopefully Capulet Veteran.
36. DJROC - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
37. Uberlegen - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
38. Qix - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
39. Umhyuk - Status unknown. Abstained day 1. Voted for Bod and Lunk day 2 AND silenced. Did not vote day 3.
40. Kegluneq - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted. Possibly linked with BScar.
42. Kemindul - Hopefully Montague townie. Has cooperated with voting.
43. Suike - Courageous defender to the crown, heroic infiltrator of legend. 100% Montague Vigilante, no kills remaining.
44. Shazback - Status unknown. Black Kitty referred to him as a 'Very clever Cat'.
45. Sagi - Status unknown. Has not voted. Capulet sympathiser? Approach with caution.
46. LOL Patrol - Status unknown. Has voted only for Kanako.
47. CitizenX - Status unknown. Voted only for Skulkraken. Capulet sympathiser, possible Citizen. Kill on sight.
49. Jun - Status unknown. Voted for Kanako and TTR. Unexpected betrayal of Kanako. Possibly true bodyguard of BK. Approach with caution.

Number of Montague or Suspected Montague: 13/16
1 Lord, 1 Vigilante, 1 Instigator (dead), 1 Detective, 1 Bodyguard, 1 Paramedic, 1 Veteran, 4 townies, 2 sleepers, Romeo. 1 sleeper and one townie unaccounted for.

Players who are likely to be Montague:
TracerBullet; ultimately must be killed. Dangerous to approach. May die tonight with Juliet, if Umino is killed and Juliet.
Skulkraken, potential sleeper #1.
Jeffu, potential sleeper #2.
Zero_Kanipan; works with unaffiliated interests. Possibly Rosaline?
Jun and TheWinks - one of these is likely to be the Capulet bodyguard. The other one is probably ours. Too risky for us to approach. We will need the player to approach us and say who they are.

THE ONLY ROLES FROM UNKNOWN PLAYERS THAT CHECK OUT ARE TOWNY (1) OR SLEEPER (1). If we get any other role, or too many of those roles, it means we have a liar in that bracket of players, or the new comer is an enemy trying to infiltrate.

Anomalies and suspicious characters:

There are twelve Capulets left:
1 Instigator, 1 Detective, 1 Bodyguard, 1 Paramedic, 1 Veteran, 4 townies, 2 Sleepers, Juliet.

Sapphire
Nebecanezar - on inactive list
Umino
Kaiba
1337Guard
NeoNostalgia
Midnyt - likely detective
DJROC
Uberlegen
Qix
Kegluneq - on inactive list
Shazback
Sagi
LOL Patrol
CitizenX
Jun



Suspected Citizens:
ChaoticAtomBomb, BScar, Major_Pain, Kaiba, Vampirate, CitizenX.

CAB was hit but did not die. Possibly Mercutio.

All other players are potential Capulets with no harmful effects. We will wish to eliminate Midnyt as the next most harmful Capulet player, the Detective. Enemy sleepers may be trouble but fortunately we already nailed one of them.

Players who we have no intel on at all:
9. Nebecanezer - Status unknown, no intel. Never voted.
22. 1337guard - Status unknown. Never voted.
36. DJROC - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
37. Uberlegen - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
38. Qix - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
40. Kegluneq - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted. Possibly linked with BScar.

I have been running some numbers and checking my contacts.

I suspect these players of being Citizens.
ChaoticAtomBomb, BScar, Major_Pain, Kaiba, Vampirate, CitizenX.

CAB was hit but did not die. Possibly Mercutio.

Annoying players who I have nothing or next to nothing on:
Nebecanezer - Status unknown, no intel. Never voted.
1337guard - Status unknown. Never voted.
DJROC - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
Uberlegen - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
Qix - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted.
Kegluneq - Status unknown, no intel. Has not voted. Possibly linked with BScar.

Frustratingly there are exactly six. The 'marked for inactive' list apparently only numbers two - the only players who I have seen comment in the threads thus far are Qix, 1337guard, DJROC and Uberlegen. We can expect that if, Kegluneq or Nebecanezer die, it is from inactivity. They may be our two missing roles. We will not be approaching more players until the inactives are killed off tonight.

Bscar was a singleton voter against Kegluneq on day 1 and did it again on day 2 for Qix. He picked two potential inactives to vote against. We suspect he is fishing to be picked up by either house who want a mafia contact. We ran a "how many Montagues voted for Qix" check on Qix day two, which revealed Bscar is definitely not Montague. May be an as-yet-unidentified unaffiliated unit. Did not vote day 3, suggesting he has been 'picked up'.

If Montague takes more hits than Capulet, then we will lynch a suspected Mafia. If Capulet takes more hits, we will lynch another Capulet, rewarding the Citizens for their good behaviour.

CLUES:
We have half of the clues from Day 1.
We have all of the clues from day 2.
We anticipate to receive all of the clues from day 3.

Alibis:
Day 1-
The Count, The Prince, and Rosaline are all mentioned.
Petruchio is a friend of Tybalt's in Romeo and Juliet. Petruchio is a ghost or small-part character in the play. Petruchio was also rescued in the narrative by a Capulet guard. Clues linked to Petruchio are DEFINITELY CAPULET.

Day 2-
Angelica is Juliet Capulet's nurse. Clues linked to Angelica are DEFINITELY CAPULET.
Alfredo - No information, does not appear in the play. Possibly unaffiliated or Citizen.
Saul - One of the town criers.
Michael - Our valiant defender of all that is good and right. Clues that refer to Michael refer to TheThirdRider.
Matthew - Clues referring to Matthew are the Capulet Bodyguard.
Gregory - mourned for Lisa. Definitely Capulet.
Sampson - mourned for Lisa. Definitely Capulet.

Day 3-
Stephanie - a female companion of Lord Montague. Definitely Montague. POSSIBLY a sleeper role.
Luke - an armed Montague. Possibly refers to the Montague vigilante.

Clues :
Day 1 -
*Benvolio was seen near Lisa's home early in the day.
***The crimson Lord was in his study until almost dawn. The name 'Lisa' was heard whispered through locked doors.
*****Rufus was seen stumbling out of a disreputable inn. Rosaline exited the same door an hour later.
******Lisa wakes to find herself in the infirmary, face covered in blood and bruises.
*******Angelica, looking for her Lady, crossed paths with a bloodied young drunk.
********A man of honor, Simon made sure Daniel wouldn't hurt anyone tomorrow.
*********Balthasar pays Benvolio a late-night visit, concerned for his health.
***********A disturbed man was seen trying to help the dying Rufus.
************Count Paris hears the morning's news with his tea and a smile.

12 clues, 2, 4, and 10 remain unknown.

Benvolio is the Montague detective, Eyolo. The name sounds like Benvolio ;)
Crimson Lord = Lord Montague. Lisa is BoD (now dead) being discovered.
Rufus = TAP, now dead.
Rosaline got it on with TAP.
Lisa was beat up.then killed.
Angelica, Capulet girl, has some encounter with DNA.Styx, the Drunkard. Medic?
Simon and Daniel - it sounds like Simon sabotaged Daniel. DEFINITELY MAFIA. We did not hear any of our allies being sabotaged at this point.
Balthasar is our paramedic.
A disturbed man - it sounds like mafia schizophrenic tried to help TAP.
And of course Black Kitty received all the clues.

Day 2 -

*Joachim shadows a green-cloaked stranger.
**The cobalt Lord invites Joachim into his study.
***The Lord of the violent house discusses birthright and allegiance with Michael prior to the public execution.
****Benvolio hits Verona's streets in search of knowledge. Someone else was targeted for Franco's fate.
*****Luke hunts, sword in hand, for a meddler.
******Ario finds enough issue with the conflict to enter the fray.
*******Alfredo is shocked at the night's bloodshed. He lends aid.
********Balthasar consoles an injured friend.
*********Angelica finds no peace in search of her errant lady.
**********A green-cloaked man wakes in an unfamiliar house.
***********Rosaline has her way with a very important man-take that, Paris.
************The Silent Woman seems to be a popular brothel. Harmon likes it enough.
*************Lord Capulet wakes in his estate's ward-room, confused and battered.

Important: 13 clues.

We aren't sure who the green cloaked stranger is. At first we thought it was our vig as our vig received a hit last night, however.more and more I do believe it is the town watch player, THG.
Cobalt Lord = Link. This target was eliminated today. Good job team.
Lord of the Violent House - Lord Montague used the family check on Michael to identify which of the bodyguards belonged to us. This was the second best move in the game so far.
Detective Ben is checking out who voted for Qix. This is how we determined that Bscar was not Montague.
Luke hunts.this is our vig hitting the 'meddler'. In the play, Mercutio is ultimately responsible for the house war. He and Romeo are friends; Romeo is attacked by Tybalt but Romeo refuses to fight as he will offend the Capulet family (and he loves Juliet). Mercutio takes up his weapon and goes to battle Tybalt, Romeo intervenes to quell the violence and Tybalt steps forward and kills Mercutio who was being restrained by Romeo. Romeo is then honour bound to kill Tybalt, and thus the war begins.
Our vig hit CAB last night. He did not die. CAB told Umino and Link that he was a serial killer. Kanako told Black Kitty that CAB was her bodyguard. When challenged which house CAB belonged to, CAB said he was from Montague. Black Kitty wisely did not believe him. Lord Montague was revealed to BK on day 2, she asked him to use his family check against the trustworthy bodyguard and thus the Montague bodyguard was recovered.
We believe Kanako lied to Black Kitty, and that the real bodyguard is still at large. It stands to reason that she would supply a mafia member to BK, hoping to gain information, knowing that BK would be well informed. And she was part right - I think Kanako did not account for BK's maintained neutrality. We had no idea she was in such danger. If we save her tomorrow, we will have surely bought her loyalty.
CAB did not want to be given to the Capulet lord and insisted he was Montague. I believe he is Mercutio or the veteran, however the 'meddler' clue is the final piece - he has to be Mercutio.
Ario is probably a sleeper that was activated. I think Alfredo is an unaffiliated medic:
"Alfredo snuck a sip off his flask, quite aware that a flock of acolytes could be hiding behind some tree, ready to ambush him into another theological debate. For the boys' own good, they better not be planning a war of words today.
The sun hovered just over the chapel.
In the monastery grove, Alfredo waited for a sign."
Sounds like a priest or church related role.
Balthasar medics up our vig.
Angelica - don't know her role. Searching may indicate Joachim is the Capulet detective. If so, Joachim is the player who hit THG overnight and Link did a family check on Joachim/their detective. This may be why Link said to me, "Midnyt is 100% our detective." We don't know who hit THG. It might have been mafia.
Rosaline gets it on with Paris. No clue as to who she is. I'm surprised that Rosaline did this as BK's identity is publically known. Possibly resulted in being able to force BK to vote during the next day.
I have no idea what the Silent Woman and Harmon refer to.
The last clue is Styx beating the crap out of Lord Capulet. Lord Montague intends to gift the Drunkard with a case of his finest wines.

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